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Analise de RTP/GGR - ProCases

Relatorio gerado em: 11/02/2026, 16:38:38 Simulacoes por caixa: 10.000 Simulacoes de upgrade: 10.000 Simulacoes de batalha: 500 por combinacao Moeda: BRL (centavos de real) calculateRoll: HMAC-SHA256, substring(0,13), retry overflow, range 1-10.000.000


1. Resumo Executivo

MetricaValor
Total Apostado (Caixas)R$ 6.494.800,00
Total Ganho (Players)R$ 4.593.508,90
Lucro da Casa (Caixas)R$ 1.901.291,10
RTP Geral (Caixas)70.73%
House Edge (Caixas)29.27%

2. RTP por Caixa (BRL)

RTP (Return to Player) - Quanto % volta para os jogadores
100% = Break Even | <100% = Casa lucra | >100% = Casa perde

[OK     ] Emerald                   | ###################################### 75.5%
[OK     ] Star                      | #################################### 72.9%
[OK     ] Paradise                  | ################################### 69.8%
[OK     ] Case Hardned              | ################################## 68.1%
[OK     ] Royal                     | ################################## 67.7%
[OK     ] Crown                     | ################################## 67.2%
[OK     ] Ultra                     | ################################# 65.2%
[OK     ] Snow                      | ############################ 56.1%

Tabela Detalhada

CaixaCategoriaPreco (BRL)RTP SimuladoRTP TeoricoHouse EdgeLucro/10.000 aberturasFLIPs
EmeraldEspecialR$ 249.9075.50%77.60%24.50%+R$ 612196.092488
StarEspecialR$ 19.9072.90%70.07%27.10%+R$ 53938.75128
ParadiseEspecialR$ 69.9969.85%68.45%30.15%+R$ 211046.73656
Case HardnedEspecialR$ 199.0068.10%67.54%31.90%+R$ 634765.741084
RoyalEspecialR$ 19.9067.72%66.61%32.28%+R$ 64241.5524
CrownEspecialR$ 24.9067.22%68.69%32.78%+R$ 81633.4146
UltraEspecialR$ 49.9965.25%69.29%34.75%+R$ 173719.55289
SnowEspecialR$ 15.9056.13%63.31%43.87%+R$ 69749.28142

Alertas - Caixas com RTP < 60% (muito agressivo)

  • Snow: RTP 56.13% - Pode afugentar jogadores

3. Analise por Categoria

Especial

  • RTP Medio: 70.73%
  • House Edge: 29.27%
  • Lucro da Casa: R$ 1901291.10
  • Caixas: 8

4. Distribuicao de Raridade (Global)

RaridadeDropsPorcentagem
CONSUMER1300.16%
INDUSTRIAL3.3694.21%
MIL_SPEC16.25620.32%
RESTRICTED44.93156.16%
CLASSIFIED11.34514.18%
COVERT3.9694.96%

5. Impacto do Sistema FLIP

CaixaFlip ThresholdFLIPs% Real% TeoricaItens Raros
Emerald7.489.551248824.9%25.10%11
Case Hardned8.936.100108410.8%10.64%6
Paradise9.376.6116566.6%6.23%15
Ultra9.708.5012892.9%2.92%10
Snow9.845.0991421.4%1.55%8
Star9.874.0141281.3%1.26%6
Crown9.944.831460.5%0.55%9
Royal9.972.431240.2%0.28%10

6. Top 10 Maiores Ganhos

CaixaItemValor (BRL)Lucro
StarM9 BayonetDoppler Phase 4R$ 10091.33
StarM9 BayonetDoppler Phase 4R$ 10091.33
EmeraldGlock-18Gamma Doppler EmeraldR$ 6300.77
Case HardnedM9 BayonetCase HardenedR$ 3326.56
Case HardnedM9 BayonetCase HardenedR$ 3326.56
StarHand WrapsCobalt SkullsR$ 1719.57
StarHand WrapsCobalt SkullsR$ 1719.57
StarHand WrapsCobalt SkullsR$ 1719.57
StarHand WrapsCobalt SkullsR$ 1719.57
StarHand WrapsCobalt SkullsR$ 1719.57

7. Simulacao de Upgrades

Constantes: House Edge = 8%, Min Chance = 0.5%, Max Chance = 75% Penalty: ratio^0.2 * 0.28

Ratio (Investido/Alvo)Chance RealWin Rate SimuladoRTP SimuladoRTP TeoricoHouse Edge
10%7.57%7.18%71.81%75.70%28.19%
25%18.12%17.99%71.96%72.48%28.04%
40%28.22%28.36%70.90%70.55%29.10%
50%34.79%34.95%69.90%69.58%30.10%
60%41.24%41.92%69.87%68.73%30.13%
75%50.76%50.78%67.71%67.68%32.29%

RTP Medio de Upgrades: 70.36% House Edge Medio: 29.64%


8. Simulacao de Batalhas

Economia de bots: bots NAO pagam entry fee e NAO recebem itens. Quando bot ganha, casa lucra 100% do entry fee real.

Batalhas PvP (sem bots)

CenarioRoundsCaixaEntry Fee TotalHouse EdgeRTP Players
1v1 PvP NORMAL1ParadiseR$ 139.9821.62%78.38%
1v1 PvP NORMAL3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 419.9434.97%65.03%
1v1 PvP FLIP1ParadiseR$ 139.9825.49%74.51%
1v1 PvP FLIP3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 419.9431.98%68.02%
3v3 PvP NORMAL1ParadiseR$ 419.9431.39%68.61%
3v3 PvP NORMAL3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 1259.8236.72%63.28%
3v3 PvP FLIP1ParadiseR$ 419.9427.99%72.01%
3v3 PvP FLIP3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 1259.8236.17%63.83%
1v1 PvP NORMAL1EmeraldR$ 499.8023.22%76.78%
1v1 PvP NORMAL3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 1499.4023.34%76.66%
1v1 PvP FLIP1EmeraldR$ 499.8022.48%77.52%
1v1 PvP FLIP3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 1499.4023.34%76.66%
3v3 PvP NORMAL1EmeraldR$ 1499.4022.28%77.72%
3v3 PvP NORMAL3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 4498.2019.69%80.31%
3v3 PvP FLIP1EmeraldR$ 1499.4020.90%79.10%
3v3 PvP FLIP3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 4498.2024.46%75.54%

Batalhas vs Bots

CenarioRoundsCaixaEntry Fee RealBot Win RateGGR Casa/BatalhaHouse EdgeRTP Real Player
1v1 vs Bot NORMAL1ParadiseR$ 69.9953.0%R$ 26.3537.65%62.35%
1v1 vs Bot NORMAL3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 209.9750.6%R$ 84.8840.42%59.58%
1v1 vs Bot FLIP1ParadiseR$ 69.9949.8%R$ 19.4127.73%72.27%
1v1 vs Bot FLIP3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 209.9750.6%R$ 59.9428.55%71.45%
3v3 vs Bots NORMAL1ParadiseR$ 69.9949.2%R$ 24.4134.88%65.12%
3v3 vs Bots NORMAL3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 209.9756.0%R$ 90.1442.93%57.07%
3v3 vs Bots FLIP1ParadiseR$ 69.9949.8%R$ 24.4134.87%65.13%
3v3 vs Bots FLIP3Paradise + Paradise + ParadiseR$ 209.9747.0%R$ 54.9826.18%73.82%
1v1 vs Bot NORMAL1EmeraldR$ 249.9052.8%R$ 78.4231.38%68.62%
1v1 vs Bot NORMAL3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 749.7049.4%R$ 118.2115.77%84.23%
1v1 vs Bot FLIP1EmeraldR$ 249.9048.4%R$ 37.2014.89%85.11%
1v1 vs Bot FLIP3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 749.7048.4%R$ 123.0116.41%83.59%
3v3 vs Bots NORMAL1EmeraldR$ 249.9048.6%R$ 51.4520.59%79.41%
3v3 vs Bots NORMAL3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 749.7058.0%R$ 272.8536.39%63.61%
3v3 vs Bots FLIP1EmeraldR$ 249.9045.4%R$ 39.9816.00%84.00%
3v3 vs Bots FLIP3Emerald + Emerald + EmeraldR$ 749.7049.5%R$ 36.714.90%95.10%

Batalhas SHARED (Compartilhado)

CenarioRoundsCaixaBotsEntry Fee RealGGR Casa/BatalhaHouse EdgeRTP Real Player
SHARED 2v2 PvP1Paradise0R$ 279.96R$ 86.1530.77%69.23%
SHARED 2v2 PvP3Paradise + Paradise + Paradise0R$ 839.88R$ 293.7334.97%65.03%
SHARED 3v3 PvP1Paradise0R$ 419.94R$ 127.6230.39%69.61%
SHARED 3v3 PvP3Paradise + Paradise + Paradise0R$ 1259.82R$ 405.4432.18%67.82%
SHARED 3v3 vs Bots1Paradise5R$ 69.99R$ 19.6528.07%71.93%
SHARED 3v3 vs Bots3Paradise + Paradise + Paradise5R$ 209.97R$ 67.9232.35%67.65%
SHARED 2v2 PvP1Emerald0R$ 999.60R$ 255.5625.57%74.43%
SHARED 2v2 PvP3Emerald + Emerald + Emerald0R$ 2998.80R$ 654.5421.83%78.17%
SHARED 3v3 PvP1Emerald0R$ 1499.40R$ 373.9424.94%75.06%
SHARED 3v3 PvP3Emerald + Emerald + Emerald0R$ 4498.20R$ 906.1420.14%79.86%
SHARED 3v3 vs Bots1Emerald5R$ 249.90R$ 55.5522.23%77.77%
SHARED 3v3 vs Bots3Emerald + Emerald + Emerald5R$ 749.70R$ 198.0626.42%73.58%

Resumo Economico

CategoriaCenariosHouse Edge MedioGGR Medio/Batalha
PvP (sem bots)1626.63%R$ 317.30
vs Bots1626.85%R$ 71.40
SHARED1227.49%R$ 287.03
TOTAL4426.94%-

9. Recomendacoes

Caixas muito agressivas (RTP < 60%)

  • Snow (RTP 56.13%): Considerar melhorar drops. House edge de 43.87% pode afugentar jogadores.

Caixas saudaveis (RTP 65-85%)

  • Emerald: RTP 75.50% - Margem saudavel
  • Star: RTP 72.90% - Margem saudavel
  • Paradise: RTP 69.85% - Margem saudavel
  • Case Hardned: RTP 68.10% - Margem saudavel
  • Royal: RTP 67.72% - Margem saudavel
  • Crown: RTP 67.22% - Margem saudavel
  • Ultra: RTP 65.25% - Margem saudavel

10. Metodologia

  1. calculateRoll: Identico ao provably-fair.service.ts - HMAC-SHA256, substring(0,13), retry overflow, range 1-10.000.000
  2. Valores em BRL: Todos os calculos usam valueCentsBrl (centavos de real), nao valueCents (USD)
  3. FLIP: Ativado quando roll >= flipThreshold (menor hashRangeStart dos itens raros)
  4. Upgrade: Formula real com penalty factor (ratio^0.2 * 0.28), house edge 8%
  5. Batalhas: Settlement completo com fair share, items removidos para pool, compensacao do pool
  6. Seeds: Aleatorios para cada simulacao (serverSeed + clientSeed)

Este relatorio e uma simulacao estatistica. Resultados reais podem variar.

Documentação Técnica - ProCases