Analise de RTP/GGR - ProCases
Relatorio gerado em: 11/02/2026, 16:38:38 Simulacoes por caixa: 10.000 Simulacoes de upgrade: 10.000 Simulacoes de batalha: 500 por combinacao Moeda: BRL (centavos de real) calculateRoll: HMAC-SHA256, substring(0,13), retry overflow, range 1-10.000.000
1. Resumo Executivo
| Metrica | Valor |
|---|---|
| Total Apostado (Caixas) | R$ 6.494.800,00 |
| Total Ganho (Players) | R$ 4.593.508,90 |
| Lucro da Casa (Caixas) | R$ 1.901.291,10 |
| RTP Geral (Caixas) | 70.73% |
| House Edge (Caixas) | 29.27% |
2. RTP por Caixa (BRL)
RTP (Return to Player) - Quanto % volta para os jogadores
100% = Break Even | <100% = Casa lucra | >100% = Casa perde
[OK ] Emerald | ###################################### 75.5%
[OK ] Star | #################################### 72.9%
[OK ] Paradise | ################################### 69.8%
[OK ] Case Hardned | ################################## 68.1%
[OK ] Royal | ################################## 67.7%
[OK ] Crown | ################################## 67.2%
[OK ] Ultra | ################################# 65.2%
[OK ] Snow | ############################ 56.1%Tabela Detalhada
| Caixa | Categoria | Preco (BRL) | RTP Simulado | RTP Teorico | House Edge | Lucro/10.000 aberturas | FLIPs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerald | Especial | R$ 249.90 | 75.50% | 77.60% | 24.50% | +R$ 612196.09 | 2488 |
| Star | Especial | R$ 19.90 | 72.90% | 70.07% | 27.10% | +R$ 53938.75 | 128 |
| Paradise | Especial | R$ 69.99 | 69.85% | 68.45% | 30.15% | +R$ 211046.73 | 656 |
| Case Hardned | Especial | R$ 199.00 | 68.10% | 67.54% | 31.90% | +R$ 634765.74 | 1084 |
| Royal | Especial | R$ 19.90 | 67.72% | 66.61% | 32.28% | +R$ 64241.55 | 24 |
| Crown | Especial | R$ 24.90 | 67.22% | 68.69% | 32.78% | +R$ 81633.41 | 46 |
| Ultra | Especial | R$ 49.99 | 65.25% | 69.29% | 34.75% | +R$ 173719.55 | 289 |
| Snow | Especial | R$ 15.90 | 56.13% | 63.31% | 43.87% | +R$ 69749.28 | 142 |
Alertas - Caixas com RTP < 60% (muito agressivo)
- Snow: RTP 56.13% - Pode afugentar jogadores
3. Analise por Categoria
Especial
- RTP Medio: 70.73%
- House Edge: 29.27%
- Lucro da Casa: R$ 1901291.10
- Caixas: 8
4. Distribuicao de Raridade (Global)
| Raridade | Drops | Porcentagem |
|---|---|---|
| CONSUMER | 130 | 0.16% |
| INDUSTRIAL | 3.369 | 4.21% |
| MIL_SPEC | 16.256 | 20.32% |
| RESTRICTED | 44.931 | 56.16% |
| CLASSIFIED | 11.345 | 14.18% |
| COVERT | 3.969 | 4.96% |
5. Impacto do Sistema FLIP
| Caixa | Flip Threshold | FLIPs | % Real | % Teorica | Itens Raros |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerald | 7.489.551 | 2488 | 24.9% | 25.10% | 11 |
| Case Hardned | 8.936.100 | 1084 | 10.8% | 10.64% | 6 |
| Paradise | 9.376.611 | 656 | 6.6% | 6.23% | 15 |
| Ultra | 9.708.501 | 289 | 2.9% | 2.92% | 10 |
| Snow | 9.845.099 | 142 | 1.4% | 1.55% | 8 |
| Star | 9.874.014 | 128 | 1.3% | 1.26% | 6 |
| Crown | 9.944.831 | 46 | 0.5% | 0.55% | 9 |
| Royal | 9.972.431 | 24 | 0.2% | 0.28% | 10 |
6. Top 10 Maiores Ganhos
| Caixa | Item | Valor (BRL) | Lucro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Star | M9 Bayonet | Doppler Phase 4 | R$ 10091.33 |
| Star | M9 Bayonet | Doppler Phase 4 | R$ 10091.33 |
| Emerald | Glock-18 | Gamma Doppler Emerald | R$ 6300.77 |
| Case Hardned | M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened | R$ 3326.56 |
| Case Hardned | M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened | R$ 3326.56 |
| Star | Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls | R$ 1719.57 |
| Star | Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls | R$ 1719.57 |
| Star | Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls | R$ 1719.57 |
| Star | Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls | R$ 1719.57 |
| Star | Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls | R$ 1719.57 |
7. Simulacao de Upgrades
Constantes: House Edge = 8%, Min Chance = 0.5%, Max Chance = 75% Penalty: ratio^0.2 * 0.28
| Ratio (Investido/Alvo) | Chance Real | Win Rate Simulado | RTP Simulado | RTP Teorico | House Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10% | 7.57% | 7.18% | 71.81% | 75.70% | 28.19% |
| 25% | 18.12% | 17.99% | 71.96% | 72.48% | 28.04% |
| 40% | 28.22% | 28.36% | 70.90% | 70.55% | 29.10% |
| 50% | 34.79% | 34.95% | 69.90% | 69.58% | 30.10% |
| 60% | 41.24% | 41.92% | 69.87% | 68.73% | 30.13% |
| 75% | 50.76% | 50.78% | 67.71% | 67.68% | 32.29% |
RTP Medio de Upgrades: 70.36% House Edge Medio: 29.64%
8. Simulacao de Batalhas
Economia de bots: bots NAO pagam entry fee e NAO recebem itens. Quando bot ganha, casa lucra 100% do entry fee real.
Batalhas PvP (sem bots)
| Cenario | Rounds | Caixa | Entry Fee Total | House Edge | RTP Players |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1v1 PvP NORMAL | 1 | Paradise | R$ 139.98 | 21.62% | 78.38% |
| 1v1 PvP NORMAL | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 419.94 | 34.97% | 65.03% |
| 1v1 PvP FLIP | 1 | Paradise | R$ 139.98 | 25.49% | 74.51% |
| 1v1 PvP FLIP | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 419.94 | 31.98% | 68.02% |
| 3v3 PvP NORMAL | 1 | Paradise | R$ 419.94 | 31.39% | 68.61% |
| 3v3 PvP NORMAL | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 1259.82 | 36.72% | 63.28% |
| 3v3 PvP FLIP | 1 | Paradise | R$ 419.94 | 27.99% | 72.01% |
| 3v3 PvP FLIP | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 1259.82 | 36.17% | 63.83% |
| 1v1 PvP NORMAL | 1 | Emerald | R$ 499.80 | 23.22% | 76.78% |
| 1v1 PvP NORMAL | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 1499.40 | 23.34% | 76.66% |
| 1v1 PvP FLIP | 1 | Emerald | R$ 499.80 | 22.48% | 77.52% |
| 1v1 PvP FLIP | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 1499.40 | 23.34% | 76.66% |
| 3v3 PvP NORMAL | 1 | Emerald | R$ 1499.40 | 22.28% | 77.72% |
| 3v3 PvP NORMAL | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 4498.20 | 19.69% | 80.31% |
| 3v3 PvP FLIP | 1 | Emerald | R$ 1499.40 | 20.90% | 79.10% |
| 3v3 PvP FLIP | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 4498.20 | 24.46% | 75.54% |
Batalhas vs Bots
| Cenario | Rounds | Caixa | Entry Fee Real | Bot Win Rate | GGR Casa/Batalha | House Edge | RTP Real Player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1v1 vs Bot NORMAL | 1 | Paradise | R$ 69.99 | 53.0% | R$ 26.35 | 37.65% | 62.35% |
| 1v1 vs Bot NORMAL | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 209.97 | 50.6% | R$ 84.88 | 40.42% | 59.58% |
| 1v1 vs Bot FLIP | 1 | Paradise | R$ 69.99 | 49.8% | R$ 19.41 | 27.73% | 72.27% |
| 1v1 vs Bot FLIP | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 209.97 | 50.6% | R$ 59.94 | 28.55% | 71.45% |
| 3v3 vs Bots NORMAL | 1 | Paradise | R$ 69.99 | 49.2% | R$ 24.41 | 34.88% | 65.12% |
| 3v3 vs Bots NORMAL | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 209.97 | 56.0% | R$ 90.14 | 42.93% | 57.07% |
| 3v3 vs Bots FLIP | 1 | Paradise | R$ 69.99 | 49.8% | R$ 24.41 | 34.87% | 65.13% |
| 3v3 vs Bots FLIP | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | R$ 209.97 | 47.0% | R$ 54.98 | 26.18% | 73.82% |
| 1v1 vs Bot NORMAL | 1 | Emerald | R$ 249.90 | 52.8% | R$ 78.42 | 31.38% | 68.62% |
| 1v1 vs Bot NORMAL | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 749.70 | 49.4% | R$ 118.21 | 15.77% | 84.23% |
| 1v1 vs Bot FLIP | 1 | Emerald | R$ 249.90 | 48.4% | R$ 37.20 | 14.89% | 85.11% |
| 1v1 vs Bot FLIP | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 749.70 | 48.4% | R$ 123.01 | 16.41% | 83.59% |
| 3v3 vs Bots NORMAL | 1 | Emerald | R$ 249.90 | 48.6% | R$ 51.45 | 20.59% | 79.41% |
| 3v3 vs Bots NORMAL | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 749.70 | 58.0% | R$ 272.85 | 36.39% | 63.61% |
| 3v3 vs Bots FLIP | 1 | Emerald | R$ 249.90 | 45.4% | R$ 39.98 | 16.00% | 84.00% |
| 3v3 vs Bots FLIP | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | R$ 749.70 | 49.5% | R$ 36.71 | 4.90% | 95.10% |
Batalhas SHARED (Compartilhado)
| Cenario | Rounds | Caixa | Bots | Entry Fee Real | GGR Casa/Batalha | House Edge | RTP Real Player |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHARED 2v2 PvP | 1 | Paradise | 0 | R$ 279.96 | R$ 86.15 | 30.77% | 69.23% |
| SHARED 2v2 PvP | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | 0 | R$ 839.88 | R$ 293.73 | 34.97% | 65.03% |
| SHARED 3v3 PvP | 1 | Paradise | 0 | R$ 419.94 | R$ 127.62 | 30.39% | 69.61% |
| SHARED 3v3 PvP | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | 0 | R$ 1259.82 | R$ 405.44 | 32.18% | 67.82% |
| SHARED 3v3 vs Bots | 1 | Paradise | 5 | R$ 69.99 | R$ 19.65 | 28.07% | 71.93% |
| SHARED 3v3 vs Bots | 3 | Paradise + Paradise + Paradise | 5 | R$ 209.97 | R$ 67.92 | 32.35% | 67.65% |
| SHARED 2v2 PvP | 1 | Emerald | 0 | R$ 999.60 | R$ 255.56 | 25.57% | 74.43% |
| SHARED 2v2 PvP | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | 0 | R$ 2998.80 | R$ 654.54 | 21.83% | 78.17% |
| SHARED 3v3 PvP | 1 | Emerald | 0 | R$ 1499.40 | R$ 373.94 | 24.94% | 75.06% |
| SHARED 3v3 PvP | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | 0 | R$ 4498.20 | R$ 906.14 | 20.14% | 79.86% |
| SHARED 3v3 vs Bots | 1 | Emerald | 5 | R$ 249.90 | R$ 55.55 | 22.23% | 77.77% |
| SHARED 3v3 vs Bots | 3 | Emerald + Emerald + Emerald | 5 | R$ 749.70 | R$ 198.06 | 26.42% | 73.58% |
Resumo Economico
| Categoria | Cenarios | House Edge Medio | GGR Medio/Batalha |
|---|---|---|---|
| PvP (sem bots) | 16 | 26.63% | R$ 317.30 |
| vs Bots | 16 | 26.85% | R$ 71.40 |
| SHARED | 12 | 27.49% | R$ 287.03 |
| TOTAL | 44 | 26.94% | - |
9. Recomendacoes
Caixas muito agressivas (RTP < 60%)
- Snow (RTP 56.13%): Considerar melhorar drops. House edge de 43.87% pode afugentar jogadores.
Caixas saudaveis (RTP 65-85%)
- Emerald: RTP 75.50% - Margem saudavel
- Star: RTP 72.90% - Margem saudavel
- Paradise: RTP 69.85% - Margem saudavel
- Case Hardned: RTP 68.10% - Margem saudavel
- Royal: RTP 67.72% - Margem saudavel
- Crown: RTP 67.22% - Margem saudavel
- Ultra: RTP 65.25% - Margem saudavel
10. Metodologia
- calculateRoll: Identico ao
provably-fair.service.ts- HMAC-SHA256, substring(0,13), retry overflow, range 1-10.000.000 - Valores em BRL: Todos os calculos usam
valueCentsBrl(centavos de real), naovalueCents(USD) - FLIP: Ativado quando roll >= flipThreshold (menor hashRangeStart dos itens raros)
- Upgrade: Formula real com penalty factor (ratio^0.2 * 0.28), house edge 8%
- Batalhas: Settlement completo com fair share, items removidos para pool, compensacao do pool
- Seeds: Aleatorios para cada simulacao (serverSeed + clientSeed)
Este relatorio e uma simulacao estatistica. Resultados reais podem variar.
